Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001651 0.001753 0.001857 0.001973 0.002099 0.002231 0.002380
2025-03-23 0.001487 0.001627 0.001777 0.001951 0.002148 0.002363 0.002617
2025-03-30 0.001377 0.001542 0.001725 0.001942 0.002196 0.002484 0.002837
2025-04-06 0.001282 0.001462 0.001666 0.001915 0.002213 0.002562 0.003004
2025-04-13 0.001201 0.001390 0.001609 0.001883 0.002218 0.002619 0.003142
2025-04-20 0.001113 0.001305 0.001530 0.001816 0.002173 0.002611 0.003194
2025-04-27 0.001079 0.001281 0.001522 0.001834 0.002232 0.002729 0.003409
2025-05-04 0.001059 0.001273 0.001532 0.001873 0.002316 0.002883 0.003677
2025-05-11 0.001048 0.001275 0.001553 0.001926 0.002421 0.003066 0.003993
2025-05-18 0.001022 0.001256 0.001547 0.001942 0.002475 0.003184 0.004224
2025-05-25 0.000977 0.001209 0.001503 0.001906 0.002458 0.003203 0.004316
2025-06-01 0.000935 0.001166 0.001461 0.001871 0.002439 0.003217 0.004399
2025-06-08 0.000903 0.001138 0.001440 0.001867 0.002469 0.003309 0.004616
2025-06-15 0.000867 0.001102 0.001408 0.001847 0.002475 0.003367 0.004785
2025-06-22 0.000838 0.001074 0.001386 0.001838 0.002496 0.003449 0.004996
2025-06-29 0.000805 0.001040 0.001353 0.001813 0.002491 0.003489 0.005143
2025-07-06 0.000772 0.001005 0.001318 0.001783 0.002477 0.003514 0.005266
2025-07-13 0.000731 0.000957 0.001263 0.001720 0.002411 0.003457 0.005249
2025-07-20 0.000718 0.000948 0.001262 0.001737 0.002466 0.003588 0.005554
2025-07-27 0.000713 0.000948 0.001273 0.001773 0.002552 0.003773 0.005964
2025-08-03 0.000711 0.000954 0.001294 0.001823 0.002661 0.004002 0.006470
2025-08-10 0.000699 0.000945 0.001292 0.001838 0.002715 0.004142 0.006824
2025-08-17 0.000675 0.000916 0.001260 0.001805 0.002689 0.004145 0.006928